@ Jwein
You seem to be under the assumption that casual gamers (especially online gamers) will be satisfied with a tablet. I seriously doubt that will be true. You also assume that most of the world can't afford multiple expensive devices. I also doubt that to be true. If the products are all highly desired, and provide different experiences, then they won't eat into each others sales. When has one product ever harmed another product when their similarities was only the fact that they were electronics?
Games like Farmville, Angry Bird, Temple Run, etc., aren't going be enough persuasion for someone to stop playing CoD, Halo, GT, etc. Historically speaking, one device has never directly harmed the sales of another device UNLESS the new device provided an experience that was superior to the previous device. That Isnt the case with the iPad. Other than simply being electronics, they aren't direct competitors.
Besides, the existence of a tablet can be countered by the lack of Wii purchases.
The big releases are the same every year: Call of Duty, Assassin's Creed and maybe a Sony and Microsoft exclusive. That's always been the case and I don't see how 2012 is any different. The rest of the year is typically showered with small-medium which 2012 also had a lot of. Hitman, Sleeping Dogs, Dishonored, Max Payne, etc. (All games which haven't released this gen; some if which are new IPs) 2012 wasn't much different than previous years in terms of software, yet software and hardware sales were still down MASSIVELY. This year is already much worse with the consoles already down 50%. The PS3 and 360 are dying and no software will change that. It's an inevitability of console generations.
I'm interested in your thought process here. Are you expecting some kind of resurgence for the PS360 here? Current trends are pointing to the PS3 & 360 being irrelevant by 2014/2015, and new consoles haven't even been announced yet. Are you expecting sales for these consoles to magically fight gravity and reach sustainable levels?
Expecting the PS3 & 360 to even stay relevant when the next gen consoles release is highly flawed imo. Consumers are bored of this generation, and more software won't change that. And expecting tablets to cause a huge dent in console gaming is also unlikely. As I said before, never in history has an electronic device harmed another electronic device's sales unless it adequately performed the function of the original device.







