The PS4 will follow a similar sales trend to the PS3

[M.U.G.E.N]

happydolphin said:
I think there are a few things we can be pretty confident about.

I don't expect it to be sold at 300$, that was the Vita's price with Mem card, and this is something much greater than the Vita, if HW speculation is any indicator. I don't expect it to be sold at 600$ either, as that was a failure of a price, and they will never repeat that mistake, not in a million years.

So there are some things we know.

Then, we know that devs have been much more lovey-dovey with Microsoft in general, the exceptions usually make exclusives for Sony. Multiplats are usually more xbox friendly. This is above and beyond the fact that the xbox has 1.5 times the marketshare PS has in the US.

Then, what exactly could boost PS4 sales above PS3 sales that hasn't been confirmed yet? I know one being that they may have a more effective strategy to target the mainstream. That's 30m units more, since there is competition from MS in that market as well, let alone Nintendo.

We also know that the core market caps at around 80-90m units sold, and that's with remodels being released.

Agree on the price..at least we can have an idea about the range. But even then it's better to see the actual amount as it can affect the future a lot

and if any of the new rumors are true then sony will not have any issues with multiplats. Actually Orbis is a much simpler and dev friendly system than Durango..at least from the looks of it. 

Sony has good relationships with certain publishers too...such as EA. And some like Ubisoft doesn't seem to favor anyone. Activision will favor anyone who pays them more so it's a matter of if sony feels it's worth it..they didn't this gen so I doubt they will next gen. 

I already gave you a list of things we don't know...basically we don't know ANYTHING for certain. I also pointed how we don't know about the 720 rival and wiiu is definitely not a wii at the moment which won't affect the next console in any huge way. 

All things said it's way too early to speculate. Would be better to wait for the Orbis and Durango reveals then we will have a much better idea on the situation. Even the launch time matters for example..ps3 launched a year later than the 360 which did harm it's potential sales and momentum.