Sony May Not Announce The PS4 February 2013

[platformmaster918]

TheSource said:

platformmaster918 said:
I see a lot of people citing Sony PS3 support as a reason they won't announce PS4 soon. Sony keeps their old systems going long after the new ones are out. PS3 still hasn't even reached $200 and is still doing 100k per week. It'll get spikes with the big software coming the next couple months and then get up to 120k or so at least when it hits $200 (this is a very conservative prediction as that is a BIG price point to reach).

You can get PS3 for $200 with retailer discounts, and 100k a week is not even remotely good by historical measures. A an average week globally is 50k US, 20k JP, 40k Western Europe, and another 20k in Canada, Australia, Latin America, Asia, Africa. A "strong week" is 100k US, 40k JP, 80k Western Europe, 40k elsewhere - 260k globally. Wii / PS2 / PS1 / GBA / DS had strong weeks for 3-5 years each, PS3 / X360 only had 2011 really where figures could be considered good.

PS3 also sold 300k+ from August - Oct 2009 at $300, more than double the previous rate - that's when it became mainstream. $250 in 2013 is actually less than $200 in terms of value for a customer because of inflation, $200 in 2002 would buy like $280 worth of stuff in 2013, PS3 is already cheaper than PS2 was when it hit mass market and is still declining quickly.

PS4 is coming - PS3 is going to struggle to sell 20m over the rest of it's lifespan (7.5m in 2013, 4.5m in 2014, 2m in 2015, 1m in 2016, discontinued thereafter).

people don't factor in inflation with game consoles though.  Nintendo had stayed within $50 of their 1985 launch price of the NES up until this gen.  $200 has been a big price point for awhile.  It starts becoming a more impulse buy.  $150 even more so.  360 has had a $200 model available for awhile now.