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Aielyn said:

I feel I should point out to both of you that we don't actually know the exact number sold, in part due to the fact that nobody is tracking sales of the system anymore. We know how many Sony have shipped, and that's the best we have. Has it sold over 156 million? Maybe. Maybe not. Both of you need to see that we don't have enough information to be certain either way.

As for how many the DS can sell before Nintendo discontinues it... I think it goes well beyond reasonable to presume to tell anybody when Nintendo will discontinue the DS. There's things we don't know exact values for, and then there's this - something which we don't even have a ballpark figure for. You have NO idea how long Nintendo will continue to sell the DS for, or how consistently it will sell in that time.

The best thing you can say right now is that it's not a given that the DS will overtake the PS2. It's also not impossible. Stop trying to argue otherwise.

Well, I'm going to say it is pratically impossible.  There is no way that Nntendo is going to sell ~3.7M more DSs before the end of 2014, when Nintendo will most likely disontinue it, if not earlier.  At most, they are probably looking 1.5M-1.8M, if it isn't discontinued earlier.  As for the shipped vs. sold argument, it's irrelevant.  This is going to be based on shipment numbers, the only hard numbers we have, not speculated sold sales.  Besides, this late in their lifcycles, the PS2 will have ~250K on shelves, while the DS will probably have ~500K on shelves.  Those shipped numbers will eventually become sold, anyway.