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This is a really vague opinion as to why it would fail. Do you forget the millions of fanboys that won't even consider trading in a PS# for an Xbox or Nintendo? How about the exclusives Sony offers? What about hardware enthusiasts who are only looking to buy the better console spec-wise? Japan and Europe is dominated by the Playstation brand, why would this trend change?

Wii U's sales are not what were expected and are critically lowed compared to ho much the Wii sold at the birth of the console, and the Wii U has the most novel controller ever created. I think maybe we should keep our guesses to ourselves until we actually see what each of the Big 3 has to offer.