pokoko on 03 February 2013
I would agree somewhat. Consumers in general are a lot less brand loyal than fans who come to gaming forums. If one console really takes off, it won't matter what happened in the past.
Still, I'm guessing that the ability to transfer over things like friends lists and accomplishments might have an impact on the decision making process. This will be the first generation where that will be a real factor. With that in mind, I'm still expecting Microsoft to win North America and Sony to win Europe, though one or the other might be a lot closer than previously.
