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DélioPT on 31 January 2013
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DanneSandin said:
DélioPT said:

Power is not the issue. Both PS1 and PS2 dominated the market and they were the inferior console.
They won because they knew how to appeal to the market. As in: it`s all about the games!

If MS does intent to capture that market is now with a high price and a better Kinect that they are going to do it.
Sony will put out a great console. The question is at what cost?

My idea is that the next CoD will also make most of its sales on PS3 and Xbox 360 and for, probably, a short term, Wii U`s sales will be second.

I don`t think streaming games will change anything. Take OnLive`s example. It was cheap but only a segment of the market had the right conditions to take advantage of that.

Yes, PS1&2 dominated because they had the bulk of the 3rd party support, and going in to this gen I don't see Wii U having that kind of support. PS3 and x360 arguably had the best and equal 3rd party support, and they have sold roughly the same amount of consoles, and I think we'll see a continuation of this going in to the next gen; PS720 having the bulk of the 3rd party support while Wii U is left on the side. This will mean that Wii U's sales will suffer, because all it'll have to offer is Mario and Zelda.

Just take a look at the very recent comment made by EA; they don't see Wii U as part of their internal gen 4; but PS720 is... PS720 will run engines that Wii U will not be able to, or at least not without compromises, and it is this that will hinder Nintendo to get good 3rd party support, and will cost them the generation. We'll be seeing GC all over again...


Last generation was unique. You won`t it repeating itself this.
There really isn`t a clear winner to be anticipated, like N64 was after Snes or PS2 after PS1 and PS3 after PS2.
It may happen that 3rd parties will be more inclined to support MS and Sony but that may change if Wii U does well in next financial year. If you look at software sales released, you will see that Wii U is selling better than VGC is saying - probably because of digital sales. Actually, the list of best sellers here is somewhat different from the one on eshop (excluding eshop only titles).
Wii U is selling a good number of software despite most of the big titles being ports or even late ports.

There`s more excitement for X than probably for any other game announced.

But there`s more!
Economics. If production costs rise 20% like EPic anticipates, do you think that big projects that fail to meet expectations won´t have a big effect? Look at Epic Mickey: a sequel that failed = end of studio.
The market in the last generation had an artificial growth on both sides. Consoles were so different that it made sense to buy more than one. Something that didn`t happen in previous generations where the winner console won hands down.
It remains, in my view, to be seen, specially on MS and Sony`s side how big their market really is.
If the market grew artificially, it will shrink. And if that happens guess who`s not going to like it? 3rd parties!

EA says it`s not. Team Ninja says it is. :)