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This sounds plausabile for the first two years on the market, maybe a little less.
After that 360/PS3 systems will start to really lose steam in the sales department and games will sell a lot less more. I can still see Madden/Yearly Call of Duty pushing sales, but that's about it. Probably Activision will make two versions of COD (or push for MS/Sony to make the system backwards) and EA will make multiple versions of Madden (no surprise there).

I think it will be some time before the 360 completely dies off in sales because MS profits from each 360, where as the XBox was costing them money to keep the system on the market place.



It's just that simple.