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I would imagine $50 is a pretty good estimate. However, that would also tack on an extra $50-60 to the final price of the PS4. I think they should just aim for PS1 and PS2 BC. This wouldn't cost them much and would not cut into the PS3's sales as much as a $400 fully BC PS4 would. I do think most, if not all, games on PSN will get a small update to work on the PS4, as well.