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Even though this game had a very good holiday boost, it's still selling substantially beneath the original. This means it will not get close to those numbers. It will however, keep a much better momentum than 3D Land, as all 2D Mario's are quite consistent sellers for many years. This means it will do a lot better than that game, but given the difference in sales and because 3D Land puts up better competition than Mario 64 DS did, I don't see it passing 3D Land's sales just yet.

It will however, basically be a tie, with total sales coming in very close. I predict 9.5m.

Substantially lower than the slightly under 12m the original did at the same period in time, but still very respectable and within the realm of expectations for a sequel.