Yeah, wouldn't bet on this.
If Sony moneyhatted Capcom for a Vita version, Nintendo would just moneyhat them even harder to keep it exclusive to 3DS. Both sides know how important this game is.
I suppose if it does come to Vita, those Nintendo fans who said that Nintendo never moneyhat anything can be happy in knowing they were right.
If it came true though, good. Even though people say there's no point/money to be made in a Vita version, I think you're all underestimating Monster Hunter. Yes, it wouldn't sell anywhere close to what the 3DS version would sell. But it would shift a lot of Vitas and it would easily be the highest selling Vita game in Japan. Wouldn't be surprised if it sold at least a million. I'm sure there would be plenty of money to be had from it then.
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