Are the poor performances of the Vita and Wii U a sign of things to come?

[Metrium]

I don't see how a 400$ ps4 and xbox720 could possibly sell 300k units a week.

I believe this gen saw awsome numbers cause the casuals were on board, for all consoles. Almost every house have atleast 1console. Every teenagers and kids have their consoles. Look back at the day of Sega, N64, GC, Xbox, they all saw numbers around 30milion. It's the first gen where every console are selling over 70milion.

The casuals are leaving. This is not doom and gloom, It's just that the console industry is becoming ONCE AGAIN a niche market. I can't understand all the doom talk since consoles were ALWAYS a niche market till this gen.

With a new gen approaching, casuals does'nt feel the need to upgrade as of right now. I don't believe alot of kids and even teenagers will receive alot of 400consoles on year one. Parents will wait for their consoles to age and they will wait for a price drop to upgrade. Alot will wait for a certain market penetration, these ''obscure'' new consoles does'nt mean anything to them as of right now, but xbox360 does have a name that ppl know.

So I expect bad numbers for every consoles for atleast year1. With time, ppl will realise that they will seriously benefit from upgrading, but that will only apply to those who will stick with consoles wich I believe will be a big number. So on the long run, lifetime I expect 50mil for all of the big 3consoles, wich will confirm that consoles are a niche but healthy market.