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Squilliam said:
dsgrue3 said:
Squilliam said:
I guess the PS3 is dominating now but really at this point the real question is what happens next round. The console winner next generation will probably take >60% of the market so I would expect to see a lot of drama about it.


Wow you expect the console winner next gen to take 60% of the market? Can you explain why? That seems like quite an extreme position. The winner this gen is at 40% and that is slowly dropping.

I think PS4/720 will share 75-80% of the market in some fashion with a near equal split. 

It is because you can't play with your friends online if they have an Xbox 360 and you have a PS3 and vice versa. The biggest exclusive the consoles have is their online networks. It is unreasonable for people to have two consoles which play 90% the same games and sometimes multiple copies of the same titles in order to not miss out on playing with their friends.

Okay, but why do you think so many will go one way versus the other versus a relatively equal split like with PS360?