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ninjablade said:
TheSource said:

You can look at it two ways, the Wii U has a lot of demand that is repressed by the higher price, and it will perk up by a 1/3 or 1/2 once its $250, or there isn't that much demand and price cuts won't help much. The latter is probably a 40m trajectory, the former is maybe a 70-80m trajectory. The middle is most likely, that's what happened with PS3, it perked up with price cuts but it just never had the demand of PS2, or anywhere near it. 

Presumably, Mario Kart, Smash Brothers, 3D Mario, and the Wii ___ series sequels will have some kind of push. Pokemon, Animal Crossing, and RPGS would be interesting on the system too.

I personally lean to like 10m Japan / 50m US & Europe / 10m all others but it's early yet.

comparing it with the ps3 is the worst comparison, 299.99$-349$ vs 499$-599$, lets not forget the 360 and ps3 sold great at 299$-399$ price point. i really doubt nintendo dropping the price to 249$-299$ is gonna start help sales much.

You're probably right, a price drop won't help much. However, games will. That is the main reason PS3 eventually gained momentum, not price. It started with a pretty weak library its first couple years and now is home to games like Uncharted, GOW, GT, Call of Duty, Killzone, Skyrim, AC, etc.. I feel the same will happen with Wii U, at least to an extent. Right now the only interesting games on Wii U are NSMB, and maaaybe Zombie U is you're in the minority of gamers who really like survival horror. But I really feel 95% of its quality library has yet to be released, and a good part of that has yet to even be announced.