So how many PS2 owners bought Wii?

[Hawk]

I am going to make a very conservative prediction of how many current gamers are going to buy a Wii from your survey, Crazzyman. And I'm going to be VERY conservative. And I'm not going to look at new audience to gaming.

To make it very conservative, we are going to assume that all GC owners (and Xbox owners, but they were not considered on the survey) also owned a PS2. That the 11 GC only owners that answered this survey were the only ones in the world, and therefore negligible. So, we will just say all gamers of last gen, were the PS2 install base of 116 million.

I am going to make preditions of who's buying a Wii by the end of the Gen. So, I'll assume those that are going to buy a Wii will have. So, the bought numbers will be (current owners + future owners). And, again, to be conservative for you, Crazzyman, I'm going to assume the uncertain ones won't have bought a Wii. So the people who won't buy will be (won't buy + uncertain).

Ok, first off. Simply looking at PS2 owners (regardless of owning a GC or not)

From the survey, 67 (85%) will have a Wii, and 12 (15%) will not.
That means that 98.5 million gamers will buy a Wii by the end of the gen. (85% of 116 million PS2 owners)
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Whoa! You say. But that is what your survey says. But, again, I'll be conservative and remove the Nintendo bias this time. I'll now separate the GC and PS2 owners from the PS2 only owners.

Of the GC and PS2 owners (21.5 million since we are assuming all GC owners bought a PS2) 51 (88%) will have a Wii, and 7 (12%) will not. That means 18.9 million will have a Wii.

Of the PS2 only owners (The rest of the 94.5 million of the PS2 install base) 16 (76%) will have a Wii, and 5 (24%) will not. So 71.8 million will have a Wii.

Soooo. According to your survey, figuring the lowest possible number. The amount of Wii's that will be bought by current gamers is 90.7 million. Ignoring any new audience.

Go Big N!

PS: I personally understand your survey sample is a horrible sample, and means none of these numbers mean anything.