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On the 720 only ? I agree with you, Halo 5 has a very good chance of outselling that years COD on Xbox 720 only...

Lets assume this will be in 2014. The userbase for 720 will be relatively small (15 million maybe). The mass market kids wouldn't have bought the 720 yet. Amongst the core gamers that will get the 720 in the first year, I like the Halo vs COD chances any day.

Especially if COD is another cross platform milkfest, and Halo 5 puts next gen tech to good use.