I think it will be a sprinter, but I think it won't start sprinting until next year. When games start launching, I believe it will begin it's very topheavy sales run.
Here is the thing that I think is holding the Wii U back right now. When the Wii was getting ready to launch, it wasn't this big thing among Mom's and grandparents, they really didn't know about it. Gamer's knew about it because of the most hotly anticipated Zelda game in years was launching on it, along with this new motion idea. As ironic as it is, core gamers got the Wii off the ground. I bought a Wii when it was released and showed it to my extended family, and four months later, there were 5 Wii's among the family, but the key point is that it was adopted by gamers first, who then kinda spread the fad. No gamer really wants or needs the Wii U right now. It has no big first party Nintendo game, it tries to have it's own Wii sports, but ultimately fails at showing off what the system can do. You add these together and you have quite the confusing proposition.
Next year, the Wii U could go one of two ways as I see it:
1. Big first party releases around the fall, price drop, gamers start to pick it up, it starts to catch on a bit in the casual crowd.
2. Barren release schedule, overshadowed by PS4 720, a few Nintendo faithful buy. In this scenario, a price drop wouldn't do anything.
If the second option occurs, then Nintendo might be in some really big trouble.
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