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Sky Render said:
Looking at the current numbers, the 360 is getting roughly 500K a month in sales, and the Wii 1.2mil a month in sales. Given that the Wii needs 9 million to hit 30mil and the 360 needs 3.3 million to hit 20mil, I think it's more or less assured that the 360 will hit 20 million first. Even with ramped-up production and increased stock of Wiis after the 31st of March, there's almost no way they could manage to sell 6.6 million systems in the time the 360 sells 2.3 million. They would have to sell nearly 3 times as many systems as the 360 for about 3 months straight.

 I don't know about that Render, at its current rate of sales 360 will need around 5-6 months to reach 20 million, meaning sometime in july or august, if Wii were to maintain 1.2 million in sales (with a possible 600K being stockpiled if 1.8 is its actual production), then yes it would fall short, but if Nintendo ups its production so that 1.8 million arrives on the market every month (possibly 2.4 true production if not higher), after march, then its possible Wii could reach 30 million first, of course this depends on Nintendo's production choices once the 2007 fiscal year ends



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)