EdHieron said:
Oh, they might announce it at E3 this year just to stoke the fires, but even if they're following a schedule like Nintendo's with Wii U, it still wouldn't be coming out 'til Holiday 2014. And you're really putting too much emphasis on the importance of a year's head start. Just look at the current gen. Playstation 3 launched one year later and at a price tag of $200 more than the 360, yet they're still going to pass 360 when everything is over and done with. This time IF 360 manages to get theirs out in 2013 the Playstation would still be launching only a year later and more than likely at no more than at a $100.00 higher price tag. Now would it really be that disastrous for Sony to release a year later? Where would it really hurt them? Well, it would hurt them in America, but as demonstrated this gen, that's really not going to hurt them that much since they could still beat the 360's successor with strong sales in the European and Japanese marketplace. PS3 will continue to dominate in Europe 'til the release of PS4 whenever that is and Microsoft's consoles will never catch on in Japan. Really, the smartest move Sony can make to keep their old fans and to attract new ones ( since their games lineup is not as casual friendly as Nintendo's) is to release another State of the Art Console with a price point that is initially more attractive than the PS3's was at launch. An honestly priced (ie. that they're not losing on and that is as full of the greatest tech that can be bought for the price at the time) $500 console released Holiday 2014 is their best bet. |
You're really predicting their doom imo...
First off; if Sony launches in late 2014, it wouldn't be a ONE years head start; it would be TWO years head start - since Wii U lanuched late in 2012. Secondly, it wasn't until AFTER the price drop the PS3 really picked up steam, so launching one year after x3ox with a higher price tag wouldn't benefit PS4, and soon they'd have to cut the price (like they did with PS3) and they'd be losing money (like with the PS3). Not a good strategy.
And with this strategy they would lose in Japan AND EU. Japanese aren't "graphic whores", meaning they would settle for something less powerful than a beastly PS4; enter Wii U. With a two years head start AND much cheaper price point they're set to dominate in Japan leaving the PS4 in the dust. And you gotta remember that EU is in a bad financial situation, which means that should x3ox launch one year a head with a cheaper price point Sony surely would lose that market as well leaving them with nothing. Launching at $500 would more or less guarantee a €500 price tag in EU, which translate to $650 - and that's something Europeans aren't ready to pay right now...
With your strategy Sony would ONLY attract old PS-fans, and not gaining anything else. This would be their last console.
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