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Vita CoD will outsell WiiU CoD. I think the main reasons being:

a). Vita title is exclusive;
b). Those who wanted Blops2 already had it on PS360 where their friends are;
c). Wii U version inferior to PS360 ones. Why would people get Wii U's version if it can't match the older consoles performances? No one in their right mind would want to play a graphically inferior version without friends (source: http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/digitalfoundry-black-ops-2-wii-u-face-off ).

As Vita's version price lowers, it should widen the gap. That's not even counting digital sales, I bet CoD Vita sold far more digital copies than WiiU one.

PS Vita hardware will also outsell Wii U hardware lifetime, btw.