Nintendo console sales tend to be very holiday-centric. Yet last holiday, the PS3 beat the Wii U by a fairly large margin. If the Wii U can't touch the PS3 during it's best time of the year, it's going to take an even stronger beating during the first half of 2013. This is the period where the PS3 holds the strongest and Nintendo consoles tend to fall the most.
And that's just based on general hardware trends. The PS3 also has a large software advantage over the Wii U. In fact, I can't think of any big games for the Wii U - not just system sellers, but big games in general. I don't see the Wii U having a good first half.
With that said, I think the PS3 will outsell the Wii U by a large margin, but I'm not sure if it'll be double. The biggest unknown factor for me is how hard the PS3 will drop. I'm just not sure on how much exactly it will drop. We'll have to see. Without looking at data, I say the PS3 will sell 120 - 140% of whatever the Wii U sells.
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