Prediction: Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013

[Viper1]

Mazty said:

The thing is you have to consider who wants a wii u. All I can think of is die hard Nintendo fans. Anyone who is a casual who enjoyed the wii is probably more inclined to play on a tablet/phone then cash out on a console. Are there really many die hard Nintendo fans left? The Wii would have deterred many new potential fans by offering the least of the 3 systems, meaning that gamers will most likely already have a 360/ps3, and therefore why upgrade to something which ash the "tiniest increase in something over the last" console?

But the casuals upgrade their phones for the tiniest increasses so you are counterarguing your own point.  You already said they won't buy a Wii U because they'll want to upgrade their phone thanks to a tiny new increase.  But you say they won't upgrade to the Wii U because it's only a tiny little increase?

Let's put some context there.  The Wii to Wii U is not a tiny increase.  And mobile phones all play the same apps anyway...upgrade or not.   But the Wii U has a lot fo software the Wii does not.  That in itself makes it moe than a tiny increase.

As for PS3/X360 owners, I'm actually more fo them intersted in the Wii U than they were intersted in the Wii.  How much that amounts to sales is anyone's guess (though I'm sure yours is incredibly low).

Mazty said:

Viper1 said:

It's not the graphic increase but the little device it comes with that is going to be the sales driver.   Go look up the game.  It's kind of intriguing.  Certainly not the level the first game was but it should sell well.

The issue is that if we consider the majority of wii fit owners are housewives, they don't give a toss about a pedometer because the wii fit still works for them, and no pedometer is worth $350+. 

Think about it this way - you don't upgrade dumbbells. 

No, you don't upgrade "dumb"bells.  But you do upgrade programs, applications, smartphones, operating systems, software, hardware, etc....You know, "smart" stuff.

And if the original Wii Fit just works for them, why did 21 million people buy Wii Fit Plus?

Mazty said:

Wii U will not be fine. It's power draw is too low and puts it squarely in this generation; there has been no "PGR3" for the wii u. Therefore when the next-box is revealed, if it has a significantly higher power draw, the wii u will be left with the 7th gen, and not seen as an 8th gen console, as it won't be able to keep up with the other consoles. Joining the 7th gen party 7 years late is a very big mistake. Most gamers are not going to get a wii u when most of their friends/franchises are already on their existing console(s).

Oh, here we go again.  The generational power argument.   How badly did that hurt the DS, Wii and 3DS again?

 

Why don't you post here like you do at Tom's Hardware?   These debates would be much shorter.