It's very likely that I'll buy it at some point, but also likely that it won't be at launch. I'm going to wait for the games library to expand and to make sure the hardware doesn't have major issues. However, I'm unhappy with microsoft not focusing as much about first party games (Crackdown, Viva Pinata seem to be finished) as it did early on in the Xbox 360's lifespan and this will make it less likely that I buy it as early as I would have otherwise.
If there is a distinct lack of exclusive games then I'll wait a while to buy one, because in the end that's the number one reason to buy a new system for me. I'm not as excited about next gen Halo, Gears of War and Forza as other people are. A good next gen Fable game or something interesting from Rare will do more to convince me to buy the nextbox I think at this point.
Gears of War was one of the major reasons I bought an Xbox 360 the first time, but a next gen Gears of War won't grab my attention like the original did (I haven't played Gears 3 and am not overly excited about Judgement). Assuming both PS4 and Nextbox have similar pricing and power then whichever one has the more interesting looking exclusives (which will be mostly first party most likely) will be the one I buy first.
XBL Gamertag: ckmlb, PSN ID: ckmlb
