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The XBox 360 had a worse launch, had serious supply issues for the first part of 2006, was facing a massive PR problem with the RROD, and still sold 6.8 Million units in 2006 ... The PS3 had a worse launch, an insanely high price and strong competition still sold 7.8 Million units in 2007

IMO the most realistic sales range for the Wii U in 2013 is 8-12 million units; and I think it is far more likely that it would pass 12 million than fall short of 8 million