| kowenicki said: Trickiest year for a long time to predict. I will have a stab later. |
I was thinking that too. I want to wait for NPD and any possible bragging from the console manufacturers before I make a prediction so I figure around the middle of the month would be a better time to make it as we would have results from the first few weeks and perhaps a few confirmations.
My general impressions/expectations are:
3DS to be down a little.
Wii U to slip away from the Wii's pace towards PS3/360 initial pace.
Vita: No idea, depends on whether Sony cuts the price and whether people still care.
PS3/360: A couple of million down.
Nextbox/PS4: One or both is going to have a pretty fast start as the next generation is long over due. I think that we're going to get a lot of volume because of the scalability of contract manufacturers like Foxconn so the launch will be more like a couple of million first few days like the iPhone not a few hundred thousand, The Wii's records for launch will be broken. If things get really hectic we could see >25M next generation consoles by year end.
Tease.
Essay Pro