bananaking21 said:
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Like SunofKratos said, God of War: Ascension IS beasting considering the franchise has Sony's biggest fan base by light-years with at least 4 million+ dedicated fans who are all fans due to the single player experiences alone in the previous God of War games, yet with nothing but multiplayer coverage since June 2012 and 6 minutes of single player footage which revealed nothing about the story the pre-orders are currently doing amazingly. When there's finally more coverage on God of War: Ascension's single player (which is the main reason millions will buy the game obviously) then pre-orders will increase massively.
I'm expecting God of War: Ascension to do about 1.80 million first week. God of War III sold about 500k more than God of War II's first week and since then the fan base and amount of PS3 owners has grown considerably, also the new multiplayer component has had an overwhelming positive reaction from Beta players and publications previews which will help people who have never considered a God of War game a day one purchase purely for the ratio of cost : content which has been increased indefinitely due to a robust and life-extending multiplayer component which will give gamers a lot more bang for their buck. I'm expecting a 400K+ increase over God of War III's 1.40 million first week (yes, everyone knows God of War III is massively undertracked).
The Last of Us definitely won't open up to 1 million first week, how many new IP's have done that? Internet hype doesn't translate into real world sales, The Last of Us might not even be a great game which would hinder sales from word of mouth greatly, I have a feeling we've already seen the best the game has to offer and the only surprises left in the game will be the boring bits that don't make it in the developer playthroughs or trailers. My first week prediction for The Last of Us would be; 350K USA, 250K EU and 50K Others for a total of 650K first week.
I have a feeling God of War: Ascension and The Last of Us will be bundled together with the PS3 for the holidays next year, if The Last of Us does miraculously match the hype then that would be a bundle people interested in a PS3 would have a hard time resisting, it also means both games will have huge sales boosts due to bundling which would be a first for a God of War game although Naughty Dog must be used to their games being massively bundled away for free by now.
With that said, I now want to talk about Gears of War: Judgment's USA pre-orders, is it possible for its pre-orders to be so low?! It's had quite a lot of coverage and has been available for pre-order for a while now but it seems to be doing horribly every week. There isn't even going to be a beta to help entice newcomers. What are people predicting for the game's first week sales? If it's doing so poorly in the USA then imagine how poor it's doing around the rest of the world where it's always been a much smaller franchise. I'm thinking Gears of War: Judgment will do around 1.60 million (give or take 100K) first week, a fairly negligible amount less than Gears of War 2 but significantly less than Gears of War 3's huge opening. I also don't think Gears of War: Judgment will benefit much from a holidays bundle next year because I expect the Xbox 720 to launch at that time which will be the majority of Xbox gamers main focus.
