| BlkPaladin said: If it stays around this pace it will between 5.5 and 5 million (I'm expecting it to level off similarly to the Wii during the next few week so selling between 200-to-250k. EDIT: I will add a bit more. There are two weeks left of 2012, I'm guessing 600k more in those weeks, so the sales will be 2.4million, leaving 3.1 million in 12 weeks (Nintendo's Q4). To do their 5.5million they would need 259k a week. So they will miss it but only but 100k-to-200k. |
I think your estimates are pretty reasonable. I would like to add 2 points.
1) There are 13 weeks in 2013 so your number should be more like 239k per week next year. If they are somehow able to get 750k the last 2 weeks this year (admittedly optimistic) they would only need 227k per week next year to match the projected numbers.
2) Nintendo could exceed profit expectations due to currency movement regardless. Reggie stated one game makes the U profitable but add 10% to euro sales and 7% to NA sales and the hardware could be breakeven day one in those regions. By March 31st when the Wii U potentially sells more than 360 & PS3 did over the same launch time frame COMBINED and Nintendo returns to profit; there will be a flood of troll tears.
