VITA Hardware Prediction Sales of 2013!

[the_dengle]

Andrespetmonkey said:

tbone51 said:
Ive read in other threads (mainly one) in order for vita to be successful they need to at least sell 40mil (most said 50 though). So far vita lifetime is
0.48mil>>>>2011(japan only)
3.31mil(+)>>2012
Lets say the life span is another 5years (probably 4), It will have to average around 7.20mil a year. So is it still possible?
Most put under 4mil next year with others slightly over 5 or 6 mil. Some believe it will sell 10mil+ which will be a success (if 40mil is successful)
Discuss

The real question is why is 40 million successful? It's just an arbitrary figure if we don't know the financials.

It's practically impossible to get a solid take on the financial situation of a console, so my suggestion is framing success by market share. PSP had roughly a 33% market share against DS, so Vita shouldn't be too much lower than that. If you wind up with Vita having only 20% market share or something, that's not a success from that perspective. 30% might be acceptable. Of course, greater than 33% should have been the goal at the outset, but that's almost certainly not going to happen now.