The Fabian strategy of pinning all your hopes on Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania is looking more msguided by the day.
I'm ashamed to say that my state, Pennsylvania, looks like Clinton territory so far. But I'm not convinced that Ohio is a slam dunk for Clinton.
And Texas has a hybrid system that I believe actually favors Obama, despite demographics. One-third of deleates are selected through caucuses, which Obama has dominated. The rest of the delegates are elected in primaries, but it's not statewide. Instead, delegates are awarded from certain districts, and the largest districts are in Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Houston - places that are bound to favor Obama.
But even if Clinton wins these three states, it's reached the point where just winning is not enough. She'll need 20-pt landslides to cut into the lead Obama will have built by then, and landslides in any of these states are unlikely.
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