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(some) people tend to assume the successors to the ps3 and 360 are gonna arrive with a bang and knock everyone off their feet from day one...when in actuality they're most likely gonna be overpriced (or underpowered), launch with mediocre software (like every console in recent history. Remember, kids, it takes AAA software to sell systems and it takes a long time for a console to accumulate a decent library) and not live up to their full potential for 2-3 years like always, so by my reckoning nintendo wont have any huge concerns until around 2017, especially if the wii u is a successfully established console by 2014.