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UncleScrooge said:
16m+
The lineup is way better next year - not "3DS will have its best year in 2013/14/14/16"-like but the lineup is seriously better. Japan will easily have another 5m+ year and it will grow in the west.

Agreed, and I also voted 16m+.

Compare the two years in NA --

major retail releases in the first half of 2012:
Resident Evil: Revelations
Mario & Sonic at the 2012 London Olympic Games
Tales of the Abyss
Metal Gear Solid 3D: Snake Eater
Kid Icarus: Uprising
Mario Tennis Open

major retail releases scheduled for the first half of 2013:
Brain Age: Concentration Training
Fire Emblem: Awakening
Etrian Odyssey IV: Legends of the Titan
Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate
Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow - Mirror of Fate
Animal Crossing: New Leaf