Squilliam on 14 December 2012
| binary solo said: There may be some correlation between which is leading in search and which will sell the most. However it would be very hard to say that a big lead in search will mean a crushing defeat. Also, this might be predictive of the first year or 2 of sales , but long term through the generation I don;t think this has much predictive value. Also HDDVD vs. Blu-ray was as do or die thing. There was only going to be one man standing at the end. And search predictions are probably better at predicting a winner take all scenario than a market share scenario. |
However consoles have tended to be winner take all scenarios. Console generations have generally ended with large majorities to the winners. Had for instance the Wii been able to cater to the entire market then it would have likely snowballed to >70% market share. If you don't have the same console as your friends you can't play with them, so in effect your enjoyment of multiplayer is predicted partially on the decisions of other people and the availability of content likewise.
Tease.
