When will PS3 overtake 360 in sales?

[postofficebuddy]

Michael-5 said:

postofficebuddy said:

Michael-5 said:

 

The gap for 2012 up to Dec 1st data is 1.25 million. Do you actually think that gap will grow, giving PS3 a larger lead?

360 sells better in the holidays, the annual gap will likely finish around 700k-1.1 million in favor of PS3, which is larger then 2010 and 2011 combined.

 The gap for the year is 1.35 ATM. The next 2 weeks aren't looking to be much of an advantage for 360 and PS3 always wins the last 1 or 2 weeks of the year because of sales remaining high in Japan and Europe for Boxing Day.

Actually, only the last week, single week tends to favor PS3 as post Christmas sales mark a crash in sales in Americas/Europe, but not Japan.

So it really depends on how much the 360 can increase that gap. In the past, the last week favoring PS3 typically offset the week prior that 360 was superior, assuming similar trends, the gap will finish at 1.35 million - whatever 360 can manage in the next 2 weeks (December 8th data only gives 360 a 44k unit boost, so the gap will be about 1.31 million).

You're not accounting for the fact that Boxing Day has fell on the last week of the year for the past 3 years. This year it's on Christmas week. Anyway, I feel this whole argument is superfluous anyway. We won't really know for sure until we get shipments, NPD and Nintendos charts in January or February (I don't recall when their quarterly report is).