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__XBrawlX__ said:
I'd say a bit too optomistic, the Wii sold 2,954,781 units by the time 2006 came to a close, with roughly the same amount of time on shelves, and a stronger launch than the Wii U... I'd be more conservative and say maybe 2.5-3.0 million by years end, but thats just me :P

The Wii was also severely supply-constrained.

EDIT: Nintendo forecasts 5.5 million by end of March. For comparison, the Wii sold about 5.84 million by end of March 2007, and they'd forecasted 6 million (about right, considering the time it takes for stock to ship and then sell). Meanwhile, at least one analyst firm has predicted 3.5 million for 2012.