Will Wii's success ultimately hurt HD console sales? or help?

[HappySqurriel]

Stever89 said:

HappySqurriel said:

...

You also forgot that most people will not make the jump from a game like Animal Crossing directly to something like Team Fortress ... Most gamers who will make the progression from the Blue-Ocean unconventional games towards the "Hard-Core" (for lack of a better term) are very likely going to choose to play a lot of crossover games.

A crossover game is the type of game which has deep enough gameplay to be interesting to the "Core" gamer demographic whilst still being accessable to the "non" gamer. In my opinion, no company produces as many crossover games as Nintendo and no company has seen the success with crossover games that Nintendo has.

If a new gamer takes 2 years before they become a "crossover" gamer, and spends 2 years as a "crossover" gamer, how much time do they really have to buy an XBox 360 before the next generation begins?

 

Doesn't that support my argument though? Whether these people spend a few months playing games like WiiSports, and then another few months playing the more "crossover" games, and then actual "hardcore games," isn't it still likely that they'll simply find games on the system they already own? As somebody already brought up, less than half of all PS2 owners thought it worthly to buy a GC or Xbox, even though both consoles had a some really great games. Why should this generation be significantly different?

I was trying to add-on to your point ...

I agree with you and think that it is foolish to assume that someone is going to "invest" $200+ on a videogame system to play unconventional games and then just (suddenly) spend another $200+ to buy another videogame system to play conventional "core" gamer games. It is likely that their tastes may evolve from unconventional to crossover games and eventually towards the "Core" gamer games, but the Wii's library already is one of the strongest for crossover games and when these gamers are ready for the "Core" gamer games the Wii should have more of these games than these gamers will ever play.