i think they will all be long (as in i dont expect this anytime in the next few gens), but its likely that ninty is the most likely. they are so much stronger in the handheld arena, which makes it easy for them to switch. they are also completely dependent on video games. they have an extremely strong set of devs so they could easily go third party.
sony could, due to a very strong set of devs and great second party relations for becoming a publisher, but they get so much out of having a mass market machine for launching new technologies. i think they will eventually be able to fall back on future psp systems like ninty could with whatever handheld they will have.
ms is looking to make a profit and will spend money until it does, and then they will stay in forever.
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