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I`m not the best person to speak about sales or projections, but i know that this generation will end in a way that i think no generation ended: usually there`s one clear winner and once that generation is replaced the winner of the then previous generation keeps on selling because there`s appeal even though it`s sales are low.

But what we have this generation is 3 "winners" and now we will have 3 old consoles + 3 new consoles in a matter of a year, versus your usual 1 old console + 3 new consoles.
The important question is, is the market big enough to handle all 6 of them - even if for a couple of years - or will someone be left behind?
My incomplete answer is yes. And i believe the first ones to pay the price will be 360 and PS3 simply because they basically offer the same content. Whereas Wii offers something different. Not to mention that Wii will reach the 99 price tag first, leaving that part of the market that can`t/won`t pay more for consoles, all for itself. And people will remember that!

So, i don`t exactly agree with all the projections because i don`t think they take this into account. But maybe i`m wrong.