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Times have changed and microsoft now have the stronger brand in NA and the UK. So I don't think it will create any real issues for them, its really sony who needs the headstart this time. But I've said it a million times before, the 1st 9 months of sales are largely redundant and don't make much of a difference. It all comes down to games and which ever launches 1st is unlikely to have a killer line up
- 360 console excluisves from nov-2005-september 2006-: A bunch of games not worth noting.

-Reason the xbox got ahead of ps3 in NA: much cheaper price, better exclusives in 2007/2008: Fable 2, Halo 3, Mass effect, Bioshock, Lost Odyssey, Project Gotham racing, Gears of War, Gears of war 2. Not to mention better versions of all the 3rd part games which mattered. The only reason to buy a ps3 at this point was because MSG4, Little Big Planet (both arrive later then a lot of the big 360 titles) or if you were looking for a blu-ray player.