Barozi said:
Jay520 said:
Barozi said:
And there is an equal amount that started low (some even higher than PSALBR) and couldn't make to a million.
Starhawk, Twisted Metal, SOCOM 4, Haze, White Knight Chronicles, Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2, MLB The Show to name a few.
Considering the gen (for Sony) is almost over at this point I think that sales under 1m is certainly possible. Obviously it will be clearer after Christmas.
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I already mentioned the problem with Twisted Metal.
Socom 4's USA launch compares with PABR. In USA, it went on to sell 500-600k, about what we expect with PABR. In Europe, Socom 4 sold under 20k FW, so it doesn't really isn't comparable with PABR since it's likely to be much lower than PABR.
Haze was considered one of the worst games ever by reviewers and fans (yet stil sold nearly 1m). PABR isn't nearly as poorly reviewed.
WKC is a Japanese-centric game with very little worldwide appeal.
NGS2's USA launch is much lower than PABR, yet it went on to sell nearly 500k there, about what we expect for PABR. It only sold 20k in Europe, so it doesn't really compare PABR since it's likely to be much lower than PABR.
MLB: The Show only released in North America. It opens to about 150k in NA and goes on to sell 600-800k, which would actually be pretty good for PABR.
The only point you really have is Starhawk, even though that opened to nearly one-third of PABR's numbers in USA.
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What launch numbers do you expect in Europe ? After UK I expect 25k MAX. Which means I suddenly have much more valid points than just Starhawk.
They're likely going to be so low that the US will be the only place that matters. So MLB US numbers plus 100k Europe could very well be PSASBR.
Look at Smash Bros. sales in Europe. They are far far lower than in the US. So much worse launch numbers in Europe for PSASBR would actually be expected.
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For Brawl, Europe sales were about half of the US. Then Japan was about equal to Europe. And the rest of the world had a good chunk of sales as well. With that said, I think a 50-25-15-10 split in America-Europe-Japan--RoW is definitely plausible. With that being said, it would have to about 500k in America to reach 1m WW, which it looks like it will do.
