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I've never cared about Mario Kart at all. I've tried several games in the franchise, but never liked any of them. Racing just isn't for me. Of course I'm not stupid, and realise games I don't like can still be excellent.

Comparing Brawl and Mario Kart Wii is very difficult, because we have a very good idea of how awesome the former is, but know virtually nothing about the latter. It's possible the team working on Kart is as talented as the one with Brawl, but I doubt it. Double Dash might've sold more than Melee, but I'd say there are way more people still playing the latter. Surely the user base will take this into account when deciding which to purchase.

I'm not sure what my point is, and I gotta go somewhere in a few minutes. My final statement is that Mario Kart Wii might be as awesome as Brawl and easily outsell it, but it also might not. I don't think it'll be so, but then again I love Smash Bros. and couldn't care less for Mario Kart. =P