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Yeah. Price cut gives it to 360, maybe not easily, but a decent price cut will help move X360 sales even more than GTA4.
A production hike for the Wii would take a few months to really be noticable, unless, of course, there has already been a production hike and the boxes are going towards a launch. Say, 1M launch to China in May, needing 250k a month more for building up the inventory. If that happens and MS doesn't cut it price until later in the year, that would be enough to swing my prediction the other way. But chances of that are low. Rumors would be coming out by now, I think.



Torturing the numbers.  Hear them scream.