Why PS4 won't be cutting edge, and neither will Xbox3 - or Why Nintendo might win next gen

[joeorc]

HappySqurriel said:

Slimebeast said:

That's actually more like a drop off for the X360 you have there (the X360 will fade away much faster than the PS3 once next gen starts).

Do you realize that you put only 6 million PS3 shipped after 2013? Sony will go from producing +40 million PS2s during this gen to only 6 million PS3s during next gen? That's crazy unrealistic.

Also remember that a PS3 still costs $250 with lots of room for future price drops and lots of sales potential in untapped market segments. Meanwhile at this point in last gen (from Spring 2004 to Spring 2006), the PS2 cost only $149.

If you have a large enough userbase, system sales are high enough, you have low enough manufacturing costs, and a large enough library of games with broad appeal you can keep selling a system for years after the next generation begins ... The PS3 is far behind where the PS2 was in all these areas when the previous generation began so its sales will fall off far faster than the PS2's sales did.

Unless you expect Sony to be able to reduce the price to (about) $100 by the end of 2013, and unless Sony can build up hundreds of games that are more approriate for children and new gamers, the PS3 is not going to sell well past 2013.

you are going to be in for a shock, if it does i say there is going to be quite a good chance for it too, PSVita bundled with the PS3 and the PS+ with the motto "take your game on the go" playstation ding!

if you have not figured it out yet, that is one of the reasons they made the PSVit with modified Arm Processors and a modified standard SGX GPU, Sony did that for the very reason they made PS+ now supported on the PSVita, along with you can now use your PSVita as a game controller for your PS3. combined with Playstation Mobile. even when the PS4 gets released the PSVita will be able to connect to that system also.

trend's in Gaming going foward is Mobile devices connecting to Livingroom Hubs, Sony already has such platforms already set to go. why do you think they also purchased Sony Ericsson out right?

for all intent's and purpose the WiiU game tablet is a Handheld connected to a Central Hub, which is the WiiU do you think the Nintendo 3DS or 3DSXL will be left out of this connectivity option moving forward?

How about Microsoft with surface, smartglass, or windows Phone?

Its not about short term sales, its about how long you can support your systems, and aside from Sony and their PSPGo there is more past experience about Sony putting support for their systems for longer on the shelf than the other two in this market. the WiiU just released and already Nintendo is not doing anymore 1st party efforts for the Wii? AND THEY WERE IN 1ST PLACE  ALMOST THIS WHOLE GENERATION and STILL ARE WITH NUMBER OF SYSTEMS IN THE CONSUMER'S HANDS but yet Nintendo is already talking about not making any 1st party efforts for the Wii?

while Sony is in 3rd place, and yet is still pushing 1st party efforts on a 3rd place console?