dallas said:
They do indeed know the internal workings of the companies that they study, genius. They know business far better than you or I bc they have MBAs and company contacts to give news and explain things. They don't pay these people upwards of 200k to regularly give out in accurate predictions. Lastly, I would think that you have a point if I throw out one prediction, but if just about all of the big players seem to be pessimistic about msft, then any thinking person should be as well. |
"Genius". Nice.
These analysts do not know the internal workings of these companies any more than the companies let them know. Are you really that naive to believe that these analysts know so much about these companies that surprise is impossible? If that's the case, why are so many of these analysts wrong time after time after time? We see it across every industry. Some company makes a move, surprises the competition, proves all the analysts wrong. As a forum poster on a fucking video game site, you should know exactly how much stock to put in analysts' "predictions". I'm sure Michael Pachter is an extremely well-paid man. I think he's a pretty smart guy as well (most of the time, anyway). That doesn't stop him from being completely fucking wrong all the goddamned time.
I'm not even arguing that Microsoft is going to take back a large chunk of the marketshare. I'm simply saying that it's possible and any analyst who disagrees with that is drawing far too many conclusions from limited information. MSFT is still a multi-billion dollar company with a death-grip on the conventional PC market. That counts for something, whether you want to believe it or not. Me, I don't care. Let the best company win.

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