| CrazzyMan said: Don`t make excuses. We talk about SMG and SMS only. SMG reached FAST SMS numbers, because Wii sold faster then GC did, because it`s 5 mln. vs 4 mln., because Almost ALL mariofans ALREADY bought Wii in Japan. SMG droped sales so FAST, because all Mariofans bought Wii, AND even if Wii will reach 10 mln. in Japan, SMG won`t reach 2 mln., because game bought mostly ONLY by mariofans. And for now, this works only in Japan, in USA and Europe situation is better, but for how long, unknown. 800k Japan mariofans. 1.2 mln. Europe mariofans. 3.5 mln. USA mariofans. All other SMG buyers are casual gamers. Japan SMG sales reached it`s potential. Soon europe and usa will reach it too. How long wii is going to sell, time will show, But after Wii will reach 6 mln. in Japan, 7 mln. in europe and 14 mln. in USA, it can easy stop selling. Time will tell. For now 80-85% of nintendo fans already bought the wii, high sales of games in first week and fast drops only proves that. |
I love how when I bring in evidence to support what I'm trying to say, you tell me to stop making excuses and we are only looking at SMS and SMG sales. But then when I try and show that the real plunge in Japan of SMG numbers is more of the ending of the holiday season, you say I need facts to support that claim, so I brought in other games and consoles to show that during holidays, sales are much higher, even higher than first week sales of big games (even higher than the almighty FFX). And then you say, don't bring other games in... ok.
And the fact that it's reached SMS levels, again, doesn't mean it'll just stop selling. And like I said, if it averages 5k a week for the next two years (which I think is very likely) it'll be at 1.5 million at the end of that time. If it averages 10k a week (possible, but not completely probable), it'll reach 1.5 million at the end of this year.
Will it reach 2 million in Japan? Probably not. But why should that matter? If it sells 1.5 in Japan, is that not considered good? Is there something wrong with selling "only" 1.5 million in Japan alone?
And the fact that just about every game (except for Nintendogs) will sell the MAJORITY of it's TOTAL SALES in the first few weeks. So how is that bad? And if you start saying "FFX sold 1.9 million first week," then all I have to say is: Japanese love their jRPGs, and don't have much love for 3d platformers. Different regions, different tastes...
Also, the mere fact that the game has sold well for so long, despite an average first week, shows that it's selling not only to "Mariofans" but to casuals, because casuals don't run out to buy a game first week. And so who really cares if it falls to 10k in each region? That's 30k a week, and 1.56 million a year, and in NA and Others, it's far from dropping to 10k a week. I just don't understand what the whole point of this argument is, because the game has sold really well, and will continue to sell more over the next few years, and whether the game does only 5k a week in each region, or 15k a week in each region, it's going to be at least a 6+ million seller, and like DarkNight_DS said, it'll sell another 7 million if the weekly trends stay exactly the same, in other words, doubling what it has right now. And if the it only does 50% (which I think is more likely) it'll reach 10 million by the end of the year, passing even the "greatest game ever", FFX (note sarcasim). So please, just cut us a break and stop. The game has and is going to sell really well no matter what happens in Japan, and if anyone sales that 6+ million is bad, then they really need to get their head straightened out.
We have like 10 or so more weeks until Wii hits 6 million in Japan, and you think it'll just "stop selling?" We have only 4 or 5 more weeks in Others until Wii hits 7 million in others. We have a while to go before it hits 14 million in NA though, and since the GC (which came in 3rd place last gen, in case you didn't know) sold 12.7 million in NA, I'd be very surprised if the Wii only sold 2 million more than that. I'd say we have to wait until about the end of the year before we can know that for sure. Eitherway, that statement was completely wrong and would be considered flamebait if it wasnt for the fact that you actually believe that. And yes, time will tell. And no, I don't think it'll be in your favor either.
Edit: Fixed for clarity.
