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Spring 2014 in Japan, to avoid conceding an excessive head start to Wii U there and to exploit Golden Week 2014.
Q4 2014 in the rest of the world, where a launch would work better in that season.

Edit: @Dodece:

Applying strictly your reasoning, they won't ever launch any new product anymore.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW!