Theres no reason for the Vita to sell in japan right now, all the fall games which were supposed to help it are based on western mass market franchises which are'nt even acknowledged in Japan.
Spring 2013 will be a different story entirely with: Soul Sacrifice, Phantasy Star Online 2, God Eater 2, Ninja Gaiden 2 plus, Gundam Breaker, Tales of Hearts R, Vahalla Knights 3 and Muramasa: The Demon Blade all being released within 6-8 weeks of each other. Obviously many of these games aren't news worthy by themselves, but with SS, SO2 and Gundam Breaker being tentpole titles, the others will aid in keeping interest up. I can't see the system not passing 80k on the release of soul sacrifice, the game looks like what the japanese gamers have been waiting for from the Vita. All Sony need to do now is get Kingdom Hearts HD on the Vita and its a done deal. the system would probably 800k-1m between December and april in japan.
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