Xbox Live is dying?

[pokoko]

JayWood2010 said:

sales2099 said:

pokoko said:

JayWood2010 said:
It has only been one guy who said that and he got his thread shredded to pieces No it is not failing and it has 40 million gold subscribers. It is a billion dollar service so no it is not failing.

40 million?  That's nearly the size of the 360 installed base.  Are you sure about that?  It would mean that an overwhelming majority of 360s out there are linked to a gold account.  I have trouble believing that.  Isn't gold actually unavaliable in some regions?

You cant prove that. But based on software trends this year alone, the PS3 install base is even lower....

I was mistaken with how many people are signed up on live.  all I know is there was 25m Gold in 2010

You're still mixing things up a bit, I think.  I don't mean to press the point, I just like clarity.  It was 25m Live accounts in the middle of 2010, "about half" of which were Gold.  So, you'd think at least 12m at that time, and probably 15m by the end of the year.

I just realized that I haven't addressed the OP yet, so I will.  Xbox Live is hardly dying.  Yes, growth is likely tapering off, but that's to be expected at the end of a hardware generation.  Live has zero chance of dying as long as there are yearly CoD releases and as long as the shooter genre remains strong in the west.  If Microsoft is smart, however, then they might need to increase the value of Gold next gen, which they probably will, though I imagine it will be in increasing access to non-gaming applications and functions more than anything.