Xbox Live is dying?

[pokoko]

sales2099 said:

pokoko said:

JayWood2010 said:
It has only been one guy who said that and he got his thread shredded to pieces No it is not failing and it has 40 million gold subscribers. It is a billion dollar service so no it is not failing.

40 million?  That's nearly the size of the 360 installed base.  Are you sure about that?  It would mean that an overwhelming majority of 360s out there are linked to a gold account.  I have trouble believing that.  Isn't gold actually unavaliable in some regions?

You cant prove that. But based on software trends this year alone, the PS3 install base is even lower....

Software trends?  The PS3 passed the 360 installed base quite awhile ago and that gap can only have grown with the sales gap the PS3 holds for this year.  I'm not sure what you mean otherwise.  I doubt that anyone would dispute that the 360 is in last place in terms of installed base, though the difference between it in the PS3 probably isn't very much.

As for proving the size of the 360 installed base, you're right, I don't see any current numbers and I didn't realize the previous numbers were that old.  All I can say is that the estimated installed base for the 360 was at 44M at the start of 2011.  I have no idea how to apply failure rates for the 360 since they vary greatly by model and calculating unattached consoles is even further beyond me.  If I had to guess, I'd say the 360 installed base now would probably be around 55-60M.