| mai_alt said: To the point, nothing. The relationship between the master and a dog (which is which is depends on your political views) are getting colder already. They know they're skrewed (hence all these reverences towards Asad). Not a big deal though, they spent their 40 years in a desert, will spend some more and move to other places, like the US (as if 5-6 million Jews in there is not enough, probably more than in Israel! what I'm afraid of is they might come back here), which speaks a lot about the so called Jewish nation. Well, ther're Israeli though (there was even running slogan "kill galut Jew in you, become an Israeli!"), which was modest attempt to build a nation out of Jews but ultimately failed. The more events will follow Arab Spring scenario the more Jews will escape Israel sooner or later, because in the end they do not care about Israel, who will left to protect their homeland? Well, Israeli, patriots of the motherland, kudos to them. There MUST be some Israeli in Israel, right? |
Ok, let's make this post more substantial. Why Israel is f@#$ed? Here's short history of the this region (Near East and the Mahgrib) geopolitics:
1) Prior to the inevitable end of the Ottoman Empire, I beleive somewhere in the mid-end of XIX century the Brits have created a large intelligence network in the Arab regions of the empire, and strike a deal with those who eventually will rule Six Monarchies of the Gulf (you must know this overly heroic Lawrence of Arabia story, who used to be an agent of influence of British Empire and one of the hidden behind the scene leaderof Arab Revolt in 1916-1918 during first World War). Typical British jackal policy, they know their drill ;)
2) One way or antoher but Ottoman Empire has come to it's end. A lot of territories, inhabited by Arabs, were gained independence... sort of. They were ruled by European colonial empires according to the mandats issued by League fo Nations. E.g. Syria fall under French mandat at the time, they put their man there, Faisal I, who - as you might expect - was one of the key figures of mentioned Arab Revolt. At the time you could see this kind of the situation was quite widespread, when former Ottoman Empire territories fall under mandat of certain Europen power and ruled by people from the Six Monarchies, descendants of the ruling dynsasties of said monarchies or affilated with them one way or another.
3) After WW2 and Suez Crisis of 1956 when colonial system has started to crumble, superpowers were working together to destroy said European powers influence in the region. Since now and then you can see a lot of purely religious, sometimes fanatically religious monarchies of the region, were replaced with very much secular, republican and far from being religious regimes. While Americans have inherited said British network, overall consensus and allied status with Gulf Monarchies from the Brits, Soviet ideology, popular at the time, served as a ram of new regimes to crush the old ones, like socialist Ba'ath Party ruling in Iraq and Syria, or some weird combinations of traditional Islam and new Socialism, like Libyan Arab Jamahiriya.
4) After dissolution of the Soviet Union, all of these Arab republics more or less reoriented towards the US. Nothing really special, since even during the Cold War most of them were kissing arses of two masters at the time, regardless of the Socialistic or whatever title in the name of the country (the prime example being Gamal Abdel Nasser).
5) Let's get closer to present time. What is Arab Spring? Here's an example of Lybia. When Americans want to destroy your country, they usually do it under perfectly valid reasoning, like they did it with Yugolsavia. Hence they need sort of "Albanian ram", which role was brillinatly pefformed by Lybian senussits (about one third of Lybians, who live in Benghazi or near it), who fell under influence of salafits (aka wahhabists) in the XIX century. Mind I remind you that Gadaffi before coming to power overthrown Idris I (his trirbe is ethnic Benghazi, not a coincidence), the grandchild of the founder of the Sufia Order of senussits -- Sayyid Muhammad ibn Ali as-Senussi. This explains why Qatar, Saudis and UAE were so eager to participate in destroying Lybia along with decrepit old European powers. Those senussits as well as wahhabists were part of said network created by British Colonial Office, often used as a cover for this kind of operations.
6) It must be noted that during American rule of the region, allied Gulf Monarchies served as informational brain-washing (Al Jazeera) and financial machine to support let's call it "Islamintern" (Islamic International), aka pan-Islamic movement, the Great Caliphate or whatever, including various terroristic groups, excluding those who were controlled by Syria and Iran. This was their carte blanche provided and even used by the US in it's own interests, usually to present a great enemy -- terrorism. And nobody seem to care about the facts that Al-Qaeda fighters were released from jails and fought against Gaddafi after Tripoli assault or how Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (now it's called AQIM, Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb) joined the fight in Lybia. Why? Becaues during the Arab Srping, which seem to specifically dodge Gulf Monarchies regimes, they need to get rid of as much secular regimes as possible, and who can do the best than their sworn enemy, Islamic terrorism? The only secular still not overtrown regimes left in the region are Algeria (they contributed a LOT to fight against AQIM) and Syria (currently under attack).
7) Why is that? I believe, Arab Spring signify a great change in the US foreign policy from War of Order during Bush administration (meaning American order obviously) to War of Chaos during Obama administration (meaning controllable chaos, aka Arab Spring), and eventually a way to isolationism and maybe, if they f@#$ it up again, uncontrollable chaos unless someone else will take care of it, which is pretty typical for them. Given current economic crisis, if you cannot recover yourself - make everyone'e else situation worse.
And with all that being said, what this have to do with Israel? Simple, given current globally changed picture of the region, nobody needs Israel. Regardless how hard eponymus Israel lobby will try, the US doesn't need Israel anymore to bully Arabs. The absurdity of the situation come to the point when Israel helps Asad to survive Arab Spring, because known enemy is one thing, unknown -- is totally different. I'm not sure if the current situation will destroy Israel in the long run or not, miracles do happen, but it's f@#$ed in so many ways, so answering the question of the OP -- nothing, everything has been done already. Americans won't not proclaim Israel as an enemy, but will care a lot less about their troubles than they used to.
