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Soriku said:

P4G's preorders are quite obviously overtracked.


I'm sure they are.  Do you believe they are overtracked by 50k, though?  Because that's how much the second most pre-oredered Vita game this holiday reached (hence my comment).

10k seems likely.  20k seems possible.  50k seems highly improbable.

If your source for the overtracking is Ben, then he is not the gospel for overtracking.  If a game is undertracked, he can call it - because Gamestop alone will have more pre-orders than are listed here, so it is a certainty.  There is more difficulty in him calling something overtracked, because Gamestop is not the only videogame seller in the USA.